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The D&B Delinquency Predictor Score predicts the likelihood that a company will pay in a severely delinquent manner, seek legal relief from creditors, or cease operations without paying all creditors in full during the next 12 months based on information in the Dun & Bradstreet Data Cloud. A severely delinquent company is defined as a business with at least 10% of its dollars more than 90 days past due.
The Delinquency Predictor Score comprises three components: a percentile of 1 to 100, a class of 1 to 5, and the score itself, which ranges from 101 to 670, with the lowest score representing the highest level of risk that a business will fail in the next 12 months.
Like the D&B Failure Score, the risk information is classified in three ways, from the broadest (the class) to the most specific (the score). The classifications are:
The Delinquency Predictor Score ranges from 101 to 670, where 670 is the “best” score (it indicates the business has the lowest probability of severely late payments) and 101 is the “worst” score (indicates the business has the highest probability of paying severely late).
Dun & Bradstreet uses predictive modeling analysis to make informed decisions about the likelihood that a business will become severely delinquent on its accounts. These models rely upon data that Dun & Bradstreet regularly collects about businesses, including Trade
References*, public filings (lawsuits, liens, judgments, and bankruptcies), and financial statements. The Delinquency Predictor Score examines a company’s past trade payment obligations (including granular payment data that captures month-to-month trends) that were submitted to Dun & Bradstreet, as well as firmographic data, public information, and financial data to determine the probability of future delinquency on 30 million US businesses. Because of the expansive set of data inputs, the Delinquency Predictor Score can even help to provide a more reliable risk assessment for businesses with limited or no commercial trade payment history.
The Delinquency Predictor Score is recalculated every time Dun & Bradstreet collects a new relevant piece of information about a company, or when information changes. For example, the longer a company is in business, the more its risk typically decreases, and the score may change annually to reflect this.
Although other companies have delinquency scores, only the D&B Delinquency Predictor Score has the breadth of data, from the Dun & Bradstreet Data Cloud, that provides the actionable predictive information and superior analytic methodology that makes it a more forward-looking assessment.
Vendors, financial institutions, and landlords are just a few of the partners who may check the Delinquency Predictor Score when making decisions about a business. In other words, changes to the score may impact a company’s bottom line. While many businesses may pay slowly from time to time, most do eventually pay before hitting the 90+ days late mark. Severe payment delinquency can impact decisions to accept or reject new business credit applicants and whether to change credit limits extended to existing customers.
For companies that extend trade credit, the Delinquency Predictor Score can help assess potential risk without the need to conduct extensive research of their own. It provides guidance to setting credit limits, payment terms, and upfront deposit amounts.
If your Delinquency Predictor Score or Percentile has decreased or you’ve moved to a higher Risk Class, Dun & Bradstreet has determined that based on information in the Dun & Bradstreet Data Cloud, your business is more likely to become severely delinquent on at least 10% of its accounts over the next 12 months.
If your Delinquency Predictor Score or Percentile has increased or you’ve moved to a lower Risk Class, Dun & Bradstreet has seen indications that your business is less likely to become severely delinquent on at least 10% of its accounts over the next 12 months.
Dun & Bradstreet bases its business credit scores and ratings on information it collects about companies. Because missing data can’t be factored in, it’s important for business owners to verify company details and to submit Trade References for consideration. D‑U‑N‑S® Manager is a free tool that allows a business to confirm its basic business information.
*Trade References will be added subject to Dun & Bradstreet review, verification, and acceptance. Dun & Bradstreet cannot guarantee that trade references will be accepted or that accepted trade references will impact your business credit file. Please see What is a Trade Reference for eligibility, process and other information regarding Trade References.